PursueOver 90 Days

Extended Governance Platform

ID: 4970763-40

Potential Value

$222,390

Deal Value

$1,254,045

Stated Probability

90%

Days in Pipeline

1252

Client & Account

Client

Aero Aerospace Partners

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Audit & Governance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology Risk

Competency

Technology Risk

Global Service Code

Impact Assessment - Management (57259)

People & Dates

Partner

Suzuki Michelle

Pursuit Leader

Williams Benjamin

Open Date

Dec 8, 2022

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Extended Governance Platform

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

75.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$122,042

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.615
Opportunity business unit
+0.557
Service sub-line track record
+0.514

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

75.0%

Model A: Planning

73.2%

Model B: Early Signal

53.7%

Stated Probability

90%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

73.2%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.349
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.248
Lead sales credit %
-0.771

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (73%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

53.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.951
Service sub-line track record
-0.543
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.431

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (54%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, currency (usd vs other).