PursueOver 90 Days

Unified Platform Integration Extension - FY25

ID: 6605457-30

Potential Value

$1,240,289

Deal Value

$31,000,000

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

1252

Client & Account

Client

Aero Aerospace Partners

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Audit & Governance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Audit

Competency

Audit (CORE)

Global Service Code

Trade Compliance (46686)

People & Dates

Partner

Suzuki Michelle

Pursuit Leader

Williams Benjamin

Open Date

Dec 8, 2022

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Unified Platform Integration Extension - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

73.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$765,248

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.606
Service sub-line track record
+0.585
Opportunity business unit
+0.459

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

73.1%

Model A: Planning

84.5%

Model B: Early Signal

64.6%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

84.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.518
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.321
Lead sales credit %
-0.782

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (84%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

64.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.064
Market segment
-0.530
Account business unit
-0.425

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (65%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, account business unit.