PursueOver 90 Days

Next-Gen Process Improvement Analysis - FY25

ID: 5344099-20

Potential Value

$5,275,090

Deal Value

$29,745,955

Stated Probability

90%

Days in Pipeline

1252

Client & Account

Client

Aero Aerospace Partners

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Audit & Governance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Audit

Competency

Audit (CORE)

Global Service Code

Trade Compliance (46686)

People & Dates

Partner

Suzuki Michelle

Pursuit Leader

Williams Benjamin

Open Date

Dec 8, 2022

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Next-Gen Process Improvement Analysis - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

78.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$3,009,703

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.628
Service sub-line track record
+0.568
Opportunity business unit
+0.540

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

78.7%

Model A: Planning

72.5%

Model B: Early Signal

52.3%

Stated Probability

90%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

72.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.658
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.341
Lead sales credit %
-0.749

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (72%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

52.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.090
Deal size vs service line median
-0.586
Market segment
-0.464

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (52%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, market segment.