Adaptive Regulatory Reporting Advisory - Phase 3
ID: 3173718-10
Potential Value
$9,720,000
Deal Value
$18,000,000
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
947
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Fernandez Kathryn
Pursuit Leader
Ross Natalie
Open Date
Oct 9, 2023
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 17, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Adaptive Regulatory Reporting Advisory - Phase 3
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
56.8%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$1,240,328
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
56.8%
Model A: Planning
22.4%
Model B: Early Signal
2.0%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
22.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (22%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
2.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (2%). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.