Closing60-90 Days

Sustainable Cost Optimization Phase I - Phase 2

ID: 1305021-50

Potential Value

$250,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

60%

Days in Pipeline

666

Client & Account

Client

Phoenix Transport Group

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (61122)

People & Dates

Partner

Becker Priya

Pursuit Leader

Joshi Susan

Open Date

Jul 16, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Sustainable Cost Optimization Phase I - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

58.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$129,837

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.628
Opportunity business unit
+0.414
Non-recurring work
-0.247

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

58.2%

Model A: Planning

89.2%

Model B: Early Signal

58.9%

Stated Probability

60%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

89.2%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.295
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.178
Lead sales credit %
-0.816

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (89%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

58.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.149
Deal size vs service line median
-0.435
Service sub-line track record
-0.416

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (59%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.