IdentifyOver 90 Days

Responsive Stakeholder Engagement Platform - Phase 3

ID: 8495927-20

Potential Value

$100,000

Deal Value

$100,000

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

596

Client & Account

Client

Maple Logistics

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Cybersecurity

Opportunity Sub-SL

Cybersecurity

Competency

Cyber Implementation

Global Service Code

Policy Development (47968)

People & Dates

Partner

Lewis Jing

Pursuit Leader

Leroy Kenji

Open Date

Sep 24, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Responsive Stakeholder Engagement Platform - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

48.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$30,844

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.730
Opportunity business unit
+0.270
Market segment
-0.244

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

48.7%

Model A: Planning

63.4%

Model B: Early Signal

9.0%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

63.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.077
Deal age (days since open)
+0.891
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.791

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (63%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

9.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.675
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.559
Sub-sector track record
-0.498

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), sub-sector track record.