PursuePast Due

Agile Supply Chain Analysis

ID: 6824180-10

Potential Value

$500,000

Deal Value

$250,000

Stated Probability

90%

Days in Pipeline

733

Client & Account

Client

Trailblazer Civic Technologies

City

Boston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (61122)

People & Dates

Partner

Hall Feng

Pursuit Leader

Johansen Dieter

Open Date

May 10, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 27, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Agile Supply Chain Analysis

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

93.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$455,196

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.879
Work type
+0.713
Account business unit
+0.357

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

93.0%

Model A: Planning

97.9%

Model B: Early Signal

90.8%

Stated Probability

90%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

97.9%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.518
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.333
Lead sales credit %
-0.803

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (98%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

90.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.115
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.521
Recurring/additional sale
+0.475

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (91%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), opportunitytype additional sales opportunity, recurring/additional sale.