Global Risk Management Review
ID: 2117942-30
Potential Value
$2,532,175
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
300
Client
Atlas Agricultural Board
Account
Cedar Maritime Advisors
City
Philadelphia
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy & Transformation
Competency
Enterprise Transformation
Global Service Code
Process Reengineering (74403)
Partner
Gonzalez Amit
Pursuit Leader
Kobayashi Jeffrey
Open Date
Jul 17, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Global Risk Management Review
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
41.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$583,314
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
41.3%
Model A: Planning
55.7%
Model B: Early Signal
15.2%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
55.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (56%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
15.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (15%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.