Critical IT Infrastructure Phase III
ID: 7296214-20
Potential Value
$36,174
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
90%
Days in Pipeline
156
Client
Momentum Telecommunications Consortium
Account
Cedar Maritime Advisors
City
Beijing
Region
Asia East
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Tax
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
International Tax Transaction Services
Competency
ITTS - CTA
Global Service Code
Automation Advisory - CorpFin (82343)
Partner
Russell Marilyn
Pursuit Leader
Kumar Donna
Open Date
Dec 8, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Dec 3, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Critical IT Infrastructure Phase III
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
95.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$25,105
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
95.9%
Model A: Planning
72.4%
Model B: Early Signal
31.4%
Stated Probability
90%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
72.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (72%). Factors working against: market segment, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
31.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (31%). Factors working against: account business unit, market segment, sub-sector track record.