IdentifyOver 90 Days

Integrated Service Delivery Redesign - Phase 2

ID: 9104567-10

Potential Value

$589,700

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

90%

Days in Pipeline

183

Client & Account

Client

Aurora Banking Inc

City

Boston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Ramirez Kevin

Pursuit Leader

Larsen Ingrid

Open Date

Nov 11, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 31, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Integrated Service Delivery Redesign - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

62.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$332,647

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.811
Work type
+0.703
Account track record
-0.526

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

62.7%

Model A: Planning

89.9%

Model B: Early Signal

95.2%

Stated Probability

90%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

89.9%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.731
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.592
Recurring/additional sale
+0.678

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (90%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

95.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.110
Recurring/additional sale
+0.558
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.459

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (95%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.