PursuePast Due

Extended Cybersecurity Program

ID: 3021970-40

Potential Value

$4,500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

757

Client & Account

Client

Lake Federation

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Customer & Growth

Opportunity Sub-SL

Customer & Growth

Competency

Marketing Transformation

Global Service Code

Financial Modeling - Operations (53708)

People & Dates

Partner

Young Jean

Pursuit Leader

Morris Elizabeth

Open Date

Apr 16, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Extended Cybersecurity Program

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

20.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$829,103

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.651
Service sub-line track record
-0.448
Deal size (log scale)
-0.354

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

20.8%

Model A: Planning

88.8%

Model B: Early Signal

43.9%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

88.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.438
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.015
Lead sales credit %
-0.753

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (89%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

43.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.102
Service sub-line track record
-0.584
Market segment
-0.437

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (44%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, market segment.