Core Tax Reform Initiative - Extension
ID: 3065438-10
Potential Value
$200,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
154
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy & Transformation
Competency
Enterprise Transformation
Global Service Code
Process Reengineering (74403)
Partner
Richardson Helen
Pursuit Leader
Morgan Hannah
Open Date
Dec 10, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
May 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Core Tax Reform Initiative - Extension
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
32.0%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$22,451
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
32.0%
Model A: Planning
35.1%
Model B: Early Signal
7.5%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
35.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (35%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
7.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.