IdentifyOver 90 Days

Innovative ERP Implementation Deployment - Phase 3

ID: 6516352-10

Potential Value

$2,700,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

97

Client & Account

Client

Nexgen Aerospace Trust

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Morgan Karen

Pursuit Leader

Morgan Hannah

Open Date

Feb 5, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Innovative ERP Implementation Deployment - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

46.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$188,977

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.602
Service sub-line track record
-0.443
Deal size
+0.372

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

46.6%

Model A: Planning

15.0%

Model B: Early Signal

6.9%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

15.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.325
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.269
Service sub-line track record
-0.605

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (15%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

6.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.927
Service sub-line track record
-0.552
Deal size
-0.528

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (7%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.