PursueWithin 30 Days

End-to-End Compliance Renewal (Revised)

ID: 9929609-30

Potential Value

$29,359

Deal Value

$29,359

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

380

Client & Account

Client

Crystal Agricultural Global

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

BTS

Competency

BTS - BTA

Global Service Code

Internal Controls (50733)

People & Dates

Partner

Campbell Heather

Pursuit Leader

Alvarez Isabella

Open Date

Apr 28, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

End-to-End Compliance Renewal (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

94.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$27,420

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.816
Work type
+0.735
Opportunity business unit
+0.466

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

94.3%

Model A: Planning

99.1%

Model B: Early Signal

93.6%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

99.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.063
Lead sales credit %
-0.874
Market segment
-0.632

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (99%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, market segment.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

93.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.608
Market segment
-0.606
Account business unit
-0.466

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (94%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, account business unit.