IdentifyPast Due

Automated Internal Audit Diagnostic

ID: 2266313-40

Potential Value

$10,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

148

Client & Account

Client

Pioneer Education Network

City

Boston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Forensics

Competency

Incident Response & Resilience

Global Service Code

Mediation Services (94774)

People & Dates

Partner

Aguilar Gary

Pursuit Leader

Campbell Joshua

Open Date

Dec 16, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 6, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Automated Internal Audit Diagnostic

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

59.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,239,444

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.660
Opportunity business unit
+0.394
Service sub-line track record
-0.303

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

59.6%

Model A: Planning

20.8%

Model B: Early Signal

3.4%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

20.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.286
Deal size vs service line median
-0.840
Service sub-line track record
-0.812

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (21%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.834
Service sub-line track record
-0.762
Deal size vs service line median
-0.744

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.