Transformative Supply Chain Workshop - Phase 3
ID: 7498910-10
Potential Value
$500,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
161
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy and Execution
Competency
S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Talent Analytics (52166)
Partner
Morgan Karen
Pursuit Leader
Morgan Hannah
Open Date
Dec 3, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Transformative Supply Chain Workshop - Phase 3
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
46.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$98,159
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
46.2%
Model A: Planning
42.5%
Model B: Early Signal
4.8%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
42.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (43%). Factors working in favor: time in current pipeline stage. Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
4.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.