Identify60-90 Days

Dynamic Market Entry Pilot

ID: 9328197-30

Potential Value

$250,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

273

Client & Account

Client

Nexgen Aerospace Trust

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Müller Sara

Pursuit Leader

Schmidt Priya

Open Date

Aug 13, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Dynamic Market Entry Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

33.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$22,021

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.616
Service sub-line track record
-0.442
Opportunity business unit
+0.325

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

33.7%

Model A: Planning

26.1%

Model B: Early Signal

10.8%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

26.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.231
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.958
Lead sales credit %
-0.679

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (26%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

10.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.857
Service sub-line track record
-0.606
Deal size
-0.418

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.