IdentifyPast Due

Unified Program Management Phase II - FY26

ID: 1348825-50

Potential Value

$23,530

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

348

Client & Account

Client

Lion Insurance Partners

City

Johannesburg

Region

Africa India

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Supply Chain & Operations

Opportunity Sub-SL

Supply Chain & Operations´

Competency

Supply Chain Managed Services

Global Service Code

Business Continuity - Implementation (83591)

People & Dates

Partner

Wright Carlos

Pursuit Leader

James Virginia

Open Date

May 30, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Unified Program Management Phase II - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

54.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$11,431

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.641
Consulting service line indicator
-0.359
Opportunity business unit
+0.266

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

54.7%

Model A: Planning

88.9%

Model B: Early Signal

77.8%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

88.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.031
Deal age (days since open)
-0.905
Lead sales credit %
-0.869

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (89%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

77.8%

Key Drivers

Market segment
-0.520
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.515
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.466

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (78%). Factors working against: market segment, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other).