ClosingPast Due

Extended Quality Assurance Redesign - Pilot

ID: 6431804-10

Potential Value

$1,050,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

237

Client & Account

Client

Catalyst Agricultural Commission

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Forensics

Competency

Incident Response & Resilience

Global Service Code

Mediation Services (94774)

People & Dates

Partner

Ward Linda

Pursuit Leader

Ross Diana

Open Date

Sep 18, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Extended Quality Assurance Redesign - Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

54.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$214,428

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.653
Service sub-line track record
-0.407
Opportunity business unit
+0.321

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

54.4%

Model A: Planning

37.5%

Model B: Early Signal

6.7%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

37.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.227
Service sub-line track record
-0.663
Lead sales credit %
-0.657

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (38%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

6.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.850
Service sub-line track record
-0.734
Market segment
-0.446

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (7%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, market segment.