PursueWithin 30 Days

Optimized Performance Management Solution

ID: 7985183-40

Potential Value

$5,429,520

Deal Value

$5,429,520

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

380

Client & Account

Client

Crystal Agricultural Global

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

FAAS

Competency

FAAS - Enhanced Corporate Reporting and Accounting

Global Service Code

Operational Excellence (87306)

People & Dates

Partner

Campbell Heather

Pursuit Leader

Alvarez Isabella

Open Date

Apr 28, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Optimized Performance Management Solution

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

93.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$4,914,764

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.851
Work type
+0.786
Recurring/additional sale
+0.376

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

93.6%

Model A: Planning

96.8%

Model B: Early Signal

76.4%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

96.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.766
Lead sales credit %
-0.753
Recurring/additional sale
+0.725

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (97%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

76.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.099
Deal size vs service line median
-0.683
Deal size
-0.658

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (76%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, deal size.