Scalable Tax Reform Scale-Up
ID: 4712039-10
Potential Value
$350,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
387
Client
Eagle Transport Inc
City
San Francisco
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Discovery & Analytics
Global Service Code
Benchmarking Services - Transformation (55783)
Partner
Fischer Olivier
Pursuit Leader
Ross Diana
Open Date
Apr 21, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Scalable Tax Reform Scale-Up
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
50.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$41,472
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
50.9%
Model A: Planning
23.3%
Model B: Early Signal
6.8%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
23.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (23%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
6.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (7%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.