Modernized Tax Reform Phase II - Pilot
ID: 2579385-50
Potential Value
$600,000
Deal Value
$3,000,000
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
163
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Internal Audit Transformation
Global Service Code
Environmental Compliance - Operations (63233)
Partner
Wright Benjamin
Pursuit Leader
Müller Kathleen
Open Date
Dec 1, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Aug 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Modernized Tax Reform Phase II - Pilot
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
45.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$85,741
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
45.5%
Model A: Planning
31.4%
Model B: Early Signal
9.1%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
31.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (31%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
9.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment, service sub-line track record.