IdentifyPast Due

Innovative Talent Strategy Phase II - FY26

ID: 9231852-10

Potential Value

$88,797

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

112

Client & Account

Client

Atlantic Security Agency

City

Houston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

Organization & Workforce Transformation

Global Service Code

Cost Reduction - Transformation (90354)

People & Dates

Partner

Ward Wei

Pursuit Leader

Cruz Raj

Open Date

Jan 21, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Innovative Talent Strategy Phase II - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

57.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$8,863

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.675
Opportunity business unit
+0.286
Service sub-line track record
-0.253

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

57.5%

Model A: Planning

17.4%

Model B: Early Signal

11.3%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

17.4%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-1.573
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.938
Deal age (days since open)
-0.811

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

11.3%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-1.076
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.526
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.454

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other).