ClosingPast Due

Intelligent Process Improvement Engagement

ID: 5584466-20

Potential Value

$500,000

Deal Value

$1,250,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

593

Client & Account

Client

Allied Manufacturing Technologies

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

FAAS

Competency

FAAS - Financial applications, processes and analytics

Global Service Code

Fiscal Management - CorpFin (57378)

People & Dates

Partner

Wright Benjamin

Pursuit Leader

Wagner Brenda

Open Date

Sep 27, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 2, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Intelligent Process Improvement Engagement

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

53.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$116,613

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.599
Work type
+0.549
Opportunity business unit
+0.426

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

53.9%

Model A: Planning

43.2%

Model B: Early Signal

3.5%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

43.2%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.093
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.059
Deal age (days since open)
+0.923

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (43%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.804
Service sub-line track record
-0.690
Deal size
-0.566

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.