Resilient Governance Migration - FY25
ID: 2143477-30
Potential Value
$500,000
Deal Value
$1,250,000
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
593
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Finance
Opportunity Sub-SL
FAAS
Competency
FAAS - Financial applications, processes and analytics
Global Service Code
Strategic Advisory - Strat (79108)
Partner
Wright Benjamin
Pursuit Leader
Wagner Brenda
Open Date
Sep 27, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 2, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Resilient Governance Migration - FY25
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
53.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$116,613
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
53.9%
Model A: Planning
43.2%
Model B: Early Signal
3.5%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
43.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (43%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
3.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.