Identify60-90 Days

Foundational Sustainability Transformation - Phase 3

ID: 6528368-50

Potential Value

$1,200,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

687

Client & Account

Client

Lake Systems

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

AI and Data Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Intelligent Analytics Platform (20383)

People & Dates

Partner

Jenkins Theresa

Pursuit Leader

Wood Alexis

Open Date

Jun 25, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Foundational Sustainability Transformation - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

51.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$311,260

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.587
Service sub-line track record
-0.563
Account track record
+0.270

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

51.1%

Model A: Planning

50.7%

Model B: Early Signal

6.6%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

50.7%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.191
Deal age (days since open)
+1.009
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.862

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (51%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

6.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.870
Service sub-line track record
-0.634
Deal size
-0.455

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (7%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.