IdentifyPast Due

Extended Sustainability Scale-Up

ID: 7205366-40

Potential Value

$0

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

142

Client & Account

Client

Marble Capital

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

International Tax Transaction Services

Competency

ITTS - Transfer Pricing

Global Service Code

Claims Management (50479)

People & Dates

Partner

Nguyen Charles

Pursuit Leader

Hill Christine

Open Date

Dec 22, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Feb 28, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Extended Sustainability Scale-Up

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

84.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.708
Opportunity business unit
+0.582
Market segment
-0.478

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

84.8%

Model A: Planning

79.2%

Model B: Early Signal

11.7%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

79.2%

Key Drivers

Market segment
-1.611
Lead sales credit %
-0.817
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.795

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (79%). Factors working against: market segment, lead sales credit %, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

11.7%

Key Drivers

Account business unit
-0.891
Sub-sector track record
-0.740
Market segment
-0.732

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: account business unit, sub-sector track record, market segment.