PursuePast Due

Multi-Phase Cybersecurity Modernization

ID: 1841928-10

Potential Value

$1,665,272

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

30%

Days in Pipeline

236

Client & Account

Client

Horizon Ventures

City

Lyon

Region

Europe West

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Sullivan Thomas

Pursuit Leader

Adams Karin

Open Date

Sep 19, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Multi-Phase Cybersecurity Modernization

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

63.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$322,551

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.495
Opportunity business unit
+0.331
Service sub-line track record
-0.305

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

63.0%

Model A: Planning

30.7%

Model B: Early Signal

6.1%

Stated Probability

30%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

30.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.076
Lead sales credit %
-0.696
Service sub-line track record
-0.623

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (31%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

6.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.815
Service sub-line track record
-0.605
Deal size
-0.500

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (6%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.