Core Risk Management Review
ID: 2783603-50
Potential Value
$0
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
219
Client
Panther Defense Foundation
City
San Francisco
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Sustainability Risk Transformation
Global Service Code
Insolvency Support (84416)
Partner
Taylor Betty
Pursuit Leader
Young Akira
Open Date
Oct 6, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Core Risk Management Review
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
47.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
47.3%
Model A: Planning
41.0%
Model B: Early Signal
22.3%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
41.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (41%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
22.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (22%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, market segment.