PursueWithin 30 Days

Sustainable Performance Management Advisory (Revised)

ID: 5251310-10

Potential Value

$0

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

219

Client & Account

Client

Panther Defense Foundation

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

Indirect

Competency

Indirect Tax - Core

Global Service Code

Stakeholder Engagement (95108)

People & Dates

Partner

Taylor Betty

Pursuit Leader

Young Akira

Open Date

Oct 6, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Sustainable Performance Management Advisory (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

74.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.637
Opportunity business unit
+0.596
Region track record
-0.257

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

74.6%

Model A: Planning

36.4%

Model B: Early Signal

11.2%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

36.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.179
Lead sales credit %
-0.696
Deal age (days since open)
-0.571

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (36%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

11.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.752
Sub-sector track record
-0.648
Service sub-line track record
-0.544

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, service sub-line track record.