Modernized Cost Optimization Extension - Extension
ID: 4868943-10
Potential Value
$1
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
219
Client
Panther Defense Foundation
City
San Francisco
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Transactions & Corporate Finance
Competency
TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Regulatory Compliance (61122)
Partner
Taylor Betty
Pursuit Leader
Young Akira
Open Date
Oct 6, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Modernized Cost Optimization Extension - Extension
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
42.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
42.5%
Model A: Planning
27.4%
Model B: Early Signal
14.9%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
27.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (27%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
14.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (15%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, service sub-line track record.