Identify30-60 Days

High-Impact Governance Pilot - Extension

ID: 4325886-20

Potential Value

$100,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

170

Client & Account

Client

Maple Energy Board

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

BTS

Competency

BTS - BTA

Global Service Code

Workforce Development (31835)

People & Dates

Partner

Romero Dieter

Pursuit Leader

Hansen Madison

Open Date

Nov 24, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

May 29, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

High-Impact Governance Pilot - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

77.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$23,351

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.596
Opportunity business unit
+0.586
Service sub-line track record
+0.438

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

77.5%

Model A: Planning

30.1%

Model B: Early Signal

4.8%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

30.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.172
Deal age (days since open)
-0.901
Lead sales credit %
-0.691

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (30%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

4.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.833
Sub-sector track record
-0.724
Account business unit
-0.594

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, account business unit.