Core Revenue Assurance Consolidation
ID: 4163554-20
Potential Value
$300,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
243
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Digital and Technology Risk Management
Global Service Code
Credit Risk Advisory (57516)
Partner
Nakamura Joseph
Pursuit Leader
Butler Judy
Open Date
Sep 12, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Core Revenue Assurance Consolidation
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
30.8%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$31,040
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
30.8%
Model A: Planning
33.6%
Model B: Early Signal
12.4%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
33.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (34%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
12.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), service sub-line track record.