IdentifyPast Due

Responsive Data Analytics Implementation (Amended)

ID: 4702996-20

Potential Value

$0

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

142

Client & Account

Client

Marble Capital

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

PAS - Tax

Competency

PAS - Global Payroll

Global Service Code

Security Assessment - CorpFin (75043)

People & Dates

Partner

Nguyen Charles

Pursuit Leader

Hill Christine

Open Date

Dec 22, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Feb 28, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Responsive Data Analytics Implementation (Amended)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

87.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.722
Opportunity business unit
+0.557
Non-recurring work
+0.422

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

87.3%

Model A: Planning

63.2%

Model B: Early Signal

40.3%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

63.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.046
Lead sales credit %
-0.788
Market segment
-0.639

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (63%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, market segment.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

40.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.649
Sub-sector track record
-0.530
Market segment
-0.458

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (40%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, market segment.