Resilient Tax Reform Proof of Concept - Phase 2
ID: 3521807-10
Potential Value
$500,000
Deal Value
$1,250,000
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
593
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Finance
Opportunity Sub-SL
FAAS
Competency
FAAS - Financial applications, processes and analytics
Global Service Code
Service Design (31195)
Partner
Wright Benjamin
Pursuit Leader
Wagner Brenda
Open Date
Sep 27, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 2, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Resilient Tax Reform Proof of Concept - Phase 2
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
53.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$116,613
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
53.9%
Model A: Planning
43.2%
Model B: Early Signal
3.5%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
43.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (43%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
3.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.