Comprehensive Risk Management Program
ID: 1398566-10
Potential Value
$0
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
219
Client
Panther Defense Foundation
City
San Francisco
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Tax
Field of Play
Sustainability
Opportunity Sub-SL
Indirect
Competency
Indirect Tax - Core
Global Service Code
Data Analytics - Review (64993)
Partner
Taylor Betty
Pursuit Leader
Young Akira
Open Date
Oct 6, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Comprehensive Risk Management Program
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
74.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
74.7%
Model A: Planning
26.1%
Model B: Early Signal
12.6%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
26.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (26%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
12.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.