Identify60-90 Days

End-to-End Risk Management Redesign - Extension

ID: 3269907-30

Potential Value

$1,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

370

Client & Account

Client

Raven Information Services

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Yang Marie

Pursuit Leader

Hernandez Jason

Open Date

May 8, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 15, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

End-to-End Risk Management Redesign - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

79.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$752,445

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.970
Work type
+0.690
Account track record
-0.383

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

79.0%

Model A: Planning

95.2%

Model B: Early Signal

89.6%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

95.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.850
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.933
Lead sales credit %
-0.697

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (95%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

89.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.236
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.550
Deal size vs service line median
-0.542

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (90%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), opportunitytype additional sales opportunity. Factors working against: deal size vs service line median.