ClosingWithin 30 Days

Automated Revenue Assurance Phase III

ID: 1722509-20

Potential Value

$6,009,730

Deal Value

$4,500,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

113

Client & Account

Client

Sterling Healthcare Board

Account

Lake Trust

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Bernard Barbara

Pursuit Leader

Ward Madison

Open Date

Jan 20, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 10, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Automated Revenue Assurance Phase III

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

41.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$470,953

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.592
Service sub-line track record
-0.565
US Federal business unit
-0.359

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

41.3%

Model A: Planning

19.0%

Model B: Early Signal

4.6%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

19.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.391
Service sub-line track record
-0.978
Deal age (days since open)
-0.632

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (19%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

4.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.953
Service sub-line track record
-0.698
Deal size
-0.498

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.