Regional Governance Program - Phase 3
ID: 5730264-50
Potential Value
$125,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
280
Client
Electra Maritime Resources
Account
Emerald Digital Foundation
City
Philadelphia
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Cybersecurity
Opportunity Sub-SL
Cybersecurity
Competency
Cyber Implementation
Global Service Code
Policy Development (47968)
Partner
Lewis Jing
Pursuit Leader
Coleman Scott
Open Date
Aug 6, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Regional Governance Program - Phase 3
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
45.1%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$16,873
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
45.1%
Model A: Planning
29.9%
Model B: Early Signal
12.7%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
29.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (30%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
12.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), service sub-line track record.