Agile Technology Modernization Program
ID: 9320949-10
Potential Value
$1
Deal Value
$1
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
142
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Incident Response & Resilience
Global Service Code
Mediation Services (94774)
Partner
Butler Sharon
Pursuit Leader
Allen Sandra
Open Date
Dec 22, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Agile Technology Modernization Program
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
69.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
69.7%
Model A: Planning
31.6%
Model B: Early Signal
16.0%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
31.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (32%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
16.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (16%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record.