IdentifyOver 90 Days

Unified Technology Modernization Modernization - FY26

ID: 6480288-50

Potential Value

$111,400

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

603

Client & Account

Client

Granite Security Systems

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

BTS

Competency

BTS - BTA

Global Service Code

Internal Controls (50733)

People & Dates

Partner

Medina Pierre

Pursuit Leader

Campbell Nicholas

Open Date

Sep 17, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Unified Technology Modernization Modernization - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

89.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$93,842

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.646
Opportunity business unit
+0.404
Service sub-line track record
+0.399

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

89.7%

Model A: Planning

93.9%

Model B: Early Signal

88.0%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

93.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.104
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.076
Lead sales credit %
-0.940

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (94%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

88.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.865
Market segment
-0.596
Sub-sector track record
+0.514

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (88%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record. Factors working against: market segment.