Accelerated Change Management Consolidation - Phase 3
ID: 4229565-40
Potential Value
-$40,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
181
Service Line
CBS & Elim
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
ITTS (Elim)
Competency
ITTS - ITTS Advisory (Elim)
Global Service Code
Grant Management (50417)
Partner
Patel Laurent
Pursuit Leader
Jones Joshua
Open Date
Nov 13, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Feb 11, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Accelerated Change Management Consolidation - Phase 3
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
90.1%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
-$34,228
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
90.1%
Model A: Planning
94.9%
Model B: Early Signal
90.8%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
94.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (95%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
90.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (91%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, account business unit.