IdentifyOver 90 Days

Transformative Change Management Strategy - Renewal

ID: 5143402-20

Potential Value

$150,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

387

Client & Account

Client

Electra Enterprises

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

People Experience

Global Service Code

Integration Planning (47165)

People & Dates

Partner

Romero Susan

Pursuit Leader

Coleman Scott

Open Date

Apr 21, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Nov 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Transformative Change Management Strategy - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

83.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$118,810

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.832
Work type
+0.750
Recurring/additional sale
+0.321

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

83.9%

Model A: Planning

94.4%

Model B: Early Signal

87.8%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

94.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.772
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.538
Recurring/additional sale
+0.840

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (94%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

87.8%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.944
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.856
Recurring/additional sale
+0.672

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (88%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.