Optimized Finance Platform - Renewal
ID: 7813938-30
Potential Value
$1,000,000
Deal Value
$1,000,000
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
170
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Romero Susan
Pursuit Leader
Coleman Scott
Open Date
Nov 24, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Optimized Finance Platform - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
34.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$87,704
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
34.3%
Model A: Planning
25.5%
Model B: Early Signal
4.6%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
25.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (26%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
4.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.