PursueOver 90 Days

Regional Cybersecurity Enhancement - FY25

ID: 5383014-40

Potential Value

$350,000

Deal Value

$900,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

733

Client & Account

Client

Frontier Digital Network

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (61122)

People & Dates

Partner

Girard Charlotte

Pursuit Leader

Lee Jacqueline

Open Date

May 10, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Oct 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Regional Cybersecurity Enhancement - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

71.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$230,490

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.708
Renewal pursuit
+0.355
Opportunity business unit
+0.341

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

71.4%

Model A: Planning

92.2%

Model B: Early Signal

63.5%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

92.2%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.696
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.109
Lead sales credit %
-0.939

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (92%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

63.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.095
Renewal pursuit
+0.595
Service sub-line track record
-0.473

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (64%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.