ClosingPast Due

Strategic Process Improvement Assessment - Renewal

ID: 5809916-10

Potential Value

$3,500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

90%

Days in Pipeline

225

Client & Account

Client

Sterling Council

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Smith Steven

Pursuit Leader

Mitchell Nicole

Open Date

Sep 30, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 27, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Strategic Process Improvement Assessment - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

43.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,325,638

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.663
Service sub-line track record
-0.435
Non-recurring work
-0.260

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

43.5%

Model A: Planning

87.2%

Model B: Early Signal

61.1%

Stated Probability

90%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

87.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.535
Lead sales credit %
-0.783
Service sub-line track record
-0.597

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (87%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

61.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.044
Deal size
-0.574
Market segment
-0.427

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (61%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size, market segment.