IdentifyPast Due

Proactive Supply Chain Advisory

ID: 8877670-30

Potential Value

$231,840

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

75%

Days in Pipeline

145

Client & Account

Client

Vertex Institute

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Customer & Growth

Opportunity Sub-SL

Customer & Growth

Competency

Product & Service Innovation

Global Service Code

Identity Management (86343)

People & Dates

Partner

Watson Kathryn

Pursuit Leader

Chen Priya

Open Date

Dec 19, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Proactive Supply Chain Advisory

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

78.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$175,217

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.720
Non-recurring work
+0.596
Account business unit
+0.349

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

78.7%

Model A: Planning

96.1%

Model B: Early Signal

90.7%

Stated Probability

75%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

96.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.560
Lead sales credit %
-0.765
Deal age (days since open)
-0.692

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (96%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

90.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.989
Recurring/additional sale
+0.573
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.525

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (91%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.