IdentifyOver 90 Days

Core Market Entry Modernization (Revised)

ID: 2789414-40

Potential Value

$450,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

231

Client & Account

Client

Frontier Digital Network

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (61122)

People & Dates

Partner

Girard Charlotte

Pursuit Leader

Lee Jacqueline

Open Date

Sep 24, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Core Market Entry Modernization (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

95.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$422,488

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.778
Non-recurring work
+0.694
Renewal pursuit
+0.420

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

95.2%

Model A: Planning

98.6%

Model B: Early Signal

93.3%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

98.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.798
Lead sales credit %
-0.833
Recurring/additional sale
+0.726

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (99%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

93.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.145
Recurring/additional sale
+0.532
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.476

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (93%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.