IdentifyPast Due

Responsive Business Intelligence Assessment - Extension

ID: 7667277-40

Potential Value

$2,500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

246

Client & Account

Client

Nexgen Technologies

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

HR Transformation

Global Service Code

Supply Chain Optimization (87626)

People & Dates

Partner

Long Marilyn

Pursuit Leader

Martinez Jeffrey

Open Date

Sep 9, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Responsive Business Intelligence Assessment - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

32.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$165,618

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.575
Deal size (log scale)
-0.418
Deal size vs service line median
-0.301

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

32.3%

Model A: Planning

20.5%

Model B: Early Signal

3.8%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

20.5%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-1.111
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.074
Lead sales credit %
-0.635

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (21%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.8%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-1.048
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.707
Deal size
-0.578

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.