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Critical Legacy System Analysis (Amended)

ID: 6686865-20

Potential Value

$125,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

110

Client & Account

Client

Legacy Regulatory Industries

City

Philadelphia

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

Organization & Workforce Transformation

Global Service Code

Cost Reduction - Transformation (90354)

People & Dates

Partner

Allen Miguel

Pursuit Leader

Reyes Marcel

Open Date

Jan 23, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 13, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Critical Legacy System Analysis (Amended)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

85.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$84,896

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.829
Work type
+0.760
Recurring/additional sale
+0.339

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

85.3%

Model A: Planning

79.6%

Model B: Early Signal

87.8%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

79.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.436
Deal age (days since open)
-1.285
Service sub-line track record
-1.117

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (80%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

87.8%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.944
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.840
Recurring/additional sale
+0.672

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (88%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.